No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $174.56K
- Potential payout
- $175K
- Potential profit
- $437.51
- User PnL
- $757.06
Polymarket Trader
Mark001-
0x97f937e0ec5068121db4a4b900140544b09f4e4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.85K
- Realized PnL
- $27.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $62.65K
- Potential payout
- $62.93K
- Potential profit
- $283.18
- User PnL
- $143.92
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $42.42K
- Potential payout
- $42.61K
- Potential profit
- $191.76
- User PnL
- $26.59
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.22K
- Potential payout
- $7.24K
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- User PnL
- $166.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.68
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.12
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.73
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 131 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Yes 99.8% 38 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 43,571.26 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 56,209.94 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Yes 99.7% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes 99.8% 163.05 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes 98.1% 250 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.7% 681.2 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 39,895.64 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 198,400 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No 99.8% 19,919.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No 99.6% 1,027.99 shares