No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $176.51
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $106.26
Polymarket Trader
thepunisher26
0x97fc0a4887090dd4273c05905d537dbfc945825d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $724.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $51.16
- Potential payout
- $352.84
- Potential profit
- $301.68
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$58.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.37
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.83
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81.8% 152.9 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 83.4% 150 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.7% 700 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 99% 2.03 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 98% 2.04 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 99% 2.09 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 95% 2.1 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown 99% 2.16 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown 92% 2.16 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown 99% 2.35 shares