Polymarket Trader

silverstar

0x9810a5244c2a8ed2fb30a9838ac9d2820f7c74ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.75K
Realized PnL: $20.34K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.94K
Potential profit: $22.94K
User PnL: -$10.66K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $937.1
Potential payout: $17.85K
Potential profit: $16.91K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $114.84

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $11.7K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $181.53
Potential payout: $8.07K
Potential profit: $7.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$10.52

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $7.08K
Potential profit: $5.45K
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $761.91

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.84K
Potential profit: $6.84K
User PnL: -$167.78

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $3.83K
User PnL: -$2.81K

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$464.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$105.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$435.12

Yes position

Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.75
Potential profit: $289.75
User PnL: -$11.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $196
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.1
Potential profit: $145.1
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $54.9
User PnL: -$9.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.77
Potential profit: $36.77
User PnL: -$4.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.33

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702.36

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.95

No position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.54

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.86

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.2

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.1

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.28

No position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.33

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.1

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 2?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.27

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 3?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.73

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 7?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Khamenei seen in public by March 4?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$103.75

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$675.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 24% 1,251.7 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 23.7% 617.25 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 20.4% 114.7 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 28.8% 3,675.48 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 38.8% 1,710.78 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 48.5% 121.33 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 40.6% 226.55 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 46.9% 71.5 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 48% 5,018.16 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 67% 200 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 62.7% 775.33 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 53.7% 3,135.83 shares