No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $446.67
- Potential payout
- $446.9
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.22
Polymarket Trader
LilRich
0x98280008676100afc849a8e3d70e0090f0b99ca5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $948.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $241.18
- Potential payout
- $242.76
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.73
- Potential profit
- $239.73
- User PnL
- -$188.53
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $44.31
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $160.37
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $9.31
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.95
- Potential profit
- $177.95
- User PnL
- -$24.92
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.13
- Potential profit
- $176.13
- User PnL
- -$107.97
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $119.61
- Potential payout
- $120.88
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.61
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$21.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.16
- Potential profit
- $109.16
- User PnL
- -$102
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.78
- Potential profit
- $106.78
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $73.46
- Potential payout
- $105.71
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100.1
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.55
- Potential profit
- $82.55
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $77.05
- Potential payout
- $77.24
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.89
- Potential profit
- $70.89
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.66
- Potential profit
- $57.66
- User PnL
- -$19.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $42.46
- Potential payout
- $42.53
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $5.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.45
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.77
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.48
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.1
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.52
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.13
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.29
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.99
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.97
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.76
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.66
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 242.76 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 446.9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 87% 42.53 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 95.8% 77.24 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 70% 105.71 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 90% 96.67 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 138.1 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 100.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.9% 120.88 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 78.16 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 85.37 shares