Polymarket Trader

b1rd

0x982e29618d277116328be5ab76dbce22e94d7657

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.24
Realized PnL: $3.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$95.55

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$98.9

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$103.87

Switzerland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$539.99

Yes position

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $379.98
Potential profit: $378.27
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $23.34
Potential payout: $379.51
Potential profit: $356.17
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$207.7

Yes position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.98

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $313.06
Potential profit: $305.39
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$134.66

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$165

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.66

Yes position

US bank failure by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.83

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.8

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.43

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.5

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.5

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Over position

Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.39

Drexel Dragons position

Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.2

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Under position

Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.08

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.05

Over position

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.02

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Under position

Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.5

Under position

Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.07

Under position

Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Switzerland 54% 999.99 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 35.1% 1,200 shares
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 4.5% 400 shares
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 2.6% 600 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 2.7% 60.5 shares
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 1.7% 5,500 shares
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 5.2% 502.3 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?

No 31% 23.74 shares
Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)

Drexel Dragons 99.9% 170 shares
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.5

Under 99.9% 175 shares
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5

Over 99.9% 180 shares
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5

Over 99.9% 160 shares