Polymarket Trader

Redgoldsnapper

0x983750c71eb09715746f3944caa9905a58f78bf8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $573.89
Realized PnL: $999.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $16.47
Potential payout: $366
Potential profit: $349.53
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$61.17

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $45.53
Potential payout: $350.21
Potential profit: $304.68
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$5.53

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$112.95

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles position

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$101.01

No position

Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.88
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.88

No position

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $213.49
Potential payout: $217.29
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $47.54

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28.13

Yes position

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $160
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.99
Potential profit: $169.99
User PnL: -$134.99

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $122.6

Yes position

Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$7.16

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $128.25
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$32.93

Yes position

Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $143
User PnL: -$45.8

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$22.47

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.34

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

No position

Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.64

Yes position

Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.4

No position

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $37.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.9

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

No position

Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $14.24

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 15% 150 shares
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 166 shares
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.7% 350 shares
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.6% 350 shares
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Yes 0.3% 350 shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 12.4% 91.4 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 40% 120 shares
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 2.3% 100 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 49% 200 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 75% 100 shares
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?

No 49% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?

No 93% 130 shares