Yes position
Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37K
- Potential profit
- $37K
- User PnL
- -$224.13
Polymarket Trader
LucieC.
0x983fd9ec745c64cc9c800421fc0fe0ec4069fd5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $826.73
- Realized PnL
- $6.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.54
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $4.18
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$57.2
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $56.63
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $693.38
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $25.66
- Potential payout
- $724.75
- Potential profit
- $699.09
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $665.72
- Potential profit
- $665.72
- User PnL
- -$99.11
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $591.9
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$17.1
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.08
- Potential profit
- $563.08
- User PnL
- -$38.55
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $137.36
- Potential payout
- $538.65
- Potential profit
- $401.29
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $15.98
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $486.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $78.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $321.4
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $379
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $45.44
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $344.57
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $382
- Potential profit
- $381.05
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $341.23
- Potential payout
- $341.57
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $140.27
No position
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $253.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.11
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $283.95
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$21.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.27
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.83
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.72
Yes position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.04
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.32
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.1
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.02
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.5
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.92
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.24
No position
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.71
No position
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.89
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.2
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.83
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.14
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.49
No position
Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?
Ends Dec 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.48
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.96
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 57.9% 60 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 20.3% 200 shares
- Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 57.6% 100 shares
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 78% 27 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 64% 30 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 23% 100 shares
- Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 55% 55 shares
- Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 82% 20 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 70% 35 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 9% 250 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 34% 10.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares