Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $158.99
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.33
Polymarket Trader
0x98463fF7962F7cF7B397488E7a1e07892a0c1c89-1767986115375
0x98463ff7962f7cf7b397488e7a1e07892a0c1c89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.99
- Realized PnL
- $41.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966.12
- Potential profit
- $966.12
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.58
- Potential profit
- $526.58
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $23.08
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.91
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 7% 1,915.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 176.63 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 23% 7.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 4% 250 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 526.58 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 97.7% 52.63 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 107.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 147.06 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 4.1% 243.9 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.9% 222.22 shares