Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$16.4
Polymarket Trader
Leal45
0x9854066562d70da8b3398b8ec1f641a37e4344a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $271.42
- Realized PnL
- $222.61
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $657.65
- Potential profit
- $657.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 28?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.7
- Potential profit
- $280.7
- User PnL
- -$10.88
No position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $242.3
- Potential profit
- $21.81
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $21.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.96
- Potential profit
- $159.96
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.25
- Potential profit
- $141.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.09
- Potential profit
- $109.09
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$5
United States position
Spread: United States (-3.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Australia position
Spread: Australia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $62.14
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $54.51
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $47.39
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $45.05
- Potential profit
- $41.91
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $39.49
- Potential profit
- $29.62
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.15
- Potential profit
- $33.15
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $31.06
- Potential profit
- $19.98
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.8
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.76x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes 11% 109.09 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,535.63 shares
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 54% 18.52 shares
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes 25.3% 39.49 shares
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 82% 242.3 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 200 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.9% 1,803.16 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 22.73 shares