Polymarket Trader

kudman

0x985c62e1207aa6f99589752f6d2ca4751c1f1574

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.84
Realized PnL: -$70.41
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $119.13
Potential profit: $117.52
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.84

Vitality position

BLAST Bounty: Vitality vs. The MongolZ

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.67
Potential profit: $88.67
User PnL: -$46.1

No position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" 3+ times during his next video?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.11
Potential profit: $50.11
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.78
Potential profit: $44.78
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.23
Potential profit: $30.23
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.21
Potential profit: $25.21
User PnL: -$9.08

No position

Will Future feature Chris Brown on "The Real Me"?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $18.16
Potential profit: $10.71
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$3.51

No position

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

Spirit position

BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spirit

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MrBeast say "Blast" or "Bomb" during his next video?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Under position

England vs. DR Congo: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$129.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 52% 25 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 50% 24.45 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 49% 60 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 48% 10 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 57% 105.26 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 56% 17.84 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 4.6% 119.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Down 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Up 92% 19.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Up 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares