Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $938.26
- Potential payout
- $56.86K
- Potential profit
- $55.93K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$61.7
Polymarket Trader
Contraria
0x98634344873c4bb05913d8ab6e6d734ba523ccca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.51K
- Realized PnL
- -$864.56
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.72K
- Potential profit
- $25.72K
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $21.32K
- Potential profit
- $16.74K
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.61K
- Potential profit
- $11.61K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.97
- Potential profit
- $514.97
- User PnL
- -$190.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.29
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$141.07
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$325.27
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$435.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 9.5% 25,720.32 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 83.3% 404.87 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 53,286.04 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 6,133.85 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 41.2% 2,082.48 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 14.4% 13,908.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 14.3% 2,093.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 13% 3,076.92 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 74.1% 404.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes 23% 2,173.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 7.8% 6,440.5 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 16.3% 6,133.86 shares