Polymarket Trader

namyosh

0x98640be52f801bb86cb9b6b49f3e9bcf209184cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.4
Realized PnL: $32.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.6
Potential profit: $24.6
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will anyone say "Cosmos" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $2.6
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.26

REKONIX position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Sex" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.07
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.8

Marlins position

Astros vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Marlins position

Marlins vs. Braves

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Rams

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Jaguars position

Steelers vs. Jaguars

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Solana above $190 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Cardinals position

Chiefs vs. Cardinals

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Astros position

Astros vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Diamondbacks position

Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Pirates position

Giants vs. Pirates

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?

Ends Feb 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yankees position

Astros vs. Yankees

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Trump say "Condom" at CPAC conference on Saturday?

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Jets position

Jets vs. Senators

Ends Mar 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

REKONIX 43% 2.33 shares
Will "Apple" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Will "Housing" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 49% 2.04 shares
Will Trump say "Sex" in June?

No 88% 2.27 shares
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 15% 24.6 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 93.3% 3.68 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will Powell say "Russia" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

No 61% 1.64 shares