Polymarket Trader

Pollybagins

0x98740c8730445b45b6084c321c020f77ff909167

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.41
Realized PnL: $115.39
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $616.59
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$45.17

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$51

Oilers position

Devils vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$123

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 500 shares
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Yes 17% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 7.8% 400 shares
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?

Yes 99.4% 259.35 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 7.9% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 7.9% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Yes 49% 30 shares
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Yes 77% 5.8 shares
Devils vs. Oilers

Oilers 62% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?

Yes 77.1% 259.35 shares
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Yes 4.5% 4,452.27 shares
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?

Yes 37.8% 105.9 shares