Polymarket Trader

0x988eEF426024FD24E9867a160D4496DfdD78d0d0-1772654711063

0x988eef426024fd24e9867a160d4496dfdd78d0d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $482.28
Realized PnL: $320.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $243.49
Potential payout: $248.33
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.64

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $97.78
Potential payout: $126.99
Potential profit: $29.21
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$2.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $38.32
Potential payout: $38.36
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $10.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $25.73
Potential payout: $37.84
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.11
Potential profit: $36.11
User PnL: -$26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$27.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.91
Potential payout: $27.93
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.46
Potential profit: $24.46
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.66
Potential profit: $23.66
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.28
Potential payout: $20.29
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.54
Potential profit: $19.54
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$14.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.57
Potential profit: $18.57
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.46
Potential profit: $18.46
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.25
Potential profit: $18.25
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $11.91
Potential payout: $17.91
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $16.86
Potential payout: $17.41
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.03
Potential profit: $17.03
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.23
Potential profit: $15.23
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.65

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?

No 67% 17.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?

No 74% 37.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

No 69% 20.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?

No 78.8% 27.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?

No 73% 38.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

No 71.6% 19.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?

No 75.8% 34.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?

No 66% 39.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?

No 75% 32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

No 71% 16.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?

No 75.3% 29.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

No 67% 17.91 shares