Polymarket Trader

moonlights

0x98903e3a231fe36873d3ff4c2a565963012c7e68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.48
Realized PnL: $1.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15.9

No position

Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $67.52
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$7.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$5.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.48

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.3

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

No position

Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.89

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

No position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.3

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.6

No position

Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.2

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.1

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Giants position

Giants vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Saints position

Saints vs. Titans

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

Ole Miss position

Ole Miss vs. Georgia

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

No 97.2% 100 shares
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?

No 97.7% 99.99 shares
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

No 98% 100 shares
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

No 97.8% 200 shares
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

No 1.8% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Down 47.7% 40 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Up 25% 4.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 10% 6.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 33% 27.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Down 99.9% 39.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Down 25% 8.92 shares