Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Polymarket Trader
0x98a4262B04dEb037fd169dA221CdDC23b0a781b6-1772221438567
0x98a4262b04deb037fd169da221cddc23b0a781b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.7
- Realized PnL
- $492
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$330
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $553.09
- Potential profit
- $548.39
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$35.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.19
- Potential profit
- $124.19
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.09
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.08
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$120.79
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 7.2% 553.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 270.43 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 59.7% 270.44 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 162.01 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 162.02 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 22% 1,363.64 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 22% 136.36 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes 6% 83.33 shares