Polymarket Trader

errerr

0x98a75151fc7390c802f43bad3be617c06ad4a2d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $126.43
Realized PnL: $23.97
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.44
Potential profit: $153.44
User PnL: -$50

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $126.43
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $16.43
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.12

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.71

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.02

No position

Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.93

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.87

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Yes position

Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Trump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Golden" during Christmas Eve service member calls?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.45

Yes position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50.59

Yes position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 39.3% 89.06 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Yes 56% 119.41 shares
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

No 93.2% 308.19 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 84% 142.86 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 70% 185.71 shares
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

No 96.2% 167.21 shares
Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?

Yes 55% 1.19 shares
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

No 71.8% 167.21 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?

Yes 43.7% 114.4 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 89% 224.72 shares
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Yes 62% 80.65 shares