Polymarket Trader

0x98A84852204D183557eCBA8f6Ee03419392059b0-1755311847367

0x98a84852204d183557ecba8f6ee03419392059b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.84
Realized PnL: $360.52
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.43
Potential profit: $282.43
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.47
Potential profit: $199.47
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will turnout be between 4.6 million and 5.0 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.33
Potential profit: $194.33
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will turnout be between 5.0 million and 5.4 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$3

No position

Evo Morales arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $96.63
Potential payout: $107.97
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $63.21
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $65.79
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.56
Potential profit: $43.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Venezuela win on 2025-09-09?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.17

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.7

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.13

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.59

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.73

Yes position

Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Evo Morales arrested by June 30?

No 92.6% 107.97 shares
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?

Yes 21% 71.43 shares
Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?

Yes 0.2% 17.74 shares
Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?

Yes 0.2% 23.53 shares
Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 238.8 shares
Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 356.38 shares
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Yes 76.9% 13 shares
Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?

Yes 16.9% 17.75 shares
Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?

Yes 38% 65.79 shares
Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?

Yes 12.7% 23.53 shares
Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Yes 0.4% 238.8 shares
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Yes 92.9% 107.64 shares