Polymarket Trader

andersmyrmel

0x98af93ada2bf25c60b8b42a4d119ed996ceb2be4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $691.91
Realized PnL: -$0.21
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $36.84
Potential payout: $307
Potential profit: $270.16
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$11.44

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262
Potential profit: $262
User PnL: -$117.9

No position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207
Potential profit: $207
User PnL: -$31.85

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $122.36
Potential payout: $152
Potential profit: $29.64
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $48.85

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $24.4
Potential payout: $119
Potential profit: $94.61
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $10.14

No position

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $82.9
Potential payout: $100.42
Potential profit: $17.52
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $73.92
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $10.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $16.44
Potential payout: $78.31
Potential profit: $61.86
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $75.86
Potential profit: $68.65
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.08

No position

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15.78

No position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43.9
Potential payout: $43.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $28.31
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.31
Potential payout: $32.31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.91
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $11.34
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.51
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

No 75% 20 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

No 75% 20.01 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

No 73.8% 20.31 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 15% 21 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 16% 21 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 19% 23 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 19% 25 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 19% 25 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 19% 24 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 15% 21 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

No 75% 20.01 shares
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

No 73.7% 20.09 shares