Polymarket Trader

nottheworst2

0x98bd78e67b5c40f7f2e40d79d5f1db719ee3781e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.39K
Realized PnL: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $680.79
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $545.86
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $18.15

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $643.37
Potential payout: $835
Potential profit: $191.63
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$57.08

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $586.4
Potential payout: $609.25
Potential profit: $22.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $51.96

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $423.9
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $116.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.56
Potential profit: $511.56
User PnL: -$64

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.44
Potential profit: $494.44
User PnL: -$140.15

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $203.58
Potential payout: $391.5
Potential profit: $187.92
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$7.83

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$241.8

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.39
Potential profit: $389.39
User PnL: -$194.7

Under position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.7
Potential profit: $378.7
User PnL: -$196.92

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369
Potential profit: $369
User PnL: -$140.22

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338
Potential profit: $338
User PnL: -$118.3

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.56
Potential profit: $327.56
User PnL: -$121.25

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $276.25
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $269.33
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $45.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$130.8

No position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $249.14
Potential payout: $291.39
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $31.22

No position

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.47
Potential profit: $273.47
User PnL: -$126.11

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$76.36

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.51
Potential profit: $269.51
User PnL: -$94.63

Under position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.99
Potential profit: $251.99
User PnL: -$148.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $56.23
Potential payout: $245
Potential profit: $188.77
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.99
Potential profit: $239.99
User PnL: -$92.95

No position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.5
Potential profit: $235.5
User PnL: -$185.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.5

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.53

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.4

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.79

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.25

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.07

New York Liberty position

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.7

Rousey position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Houston Astros position

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

Atlanta Dream position

Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

No position

Will Caleb Downs be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.38

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.15

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.48

Minnesota Lynx position

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.07

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Los Angeles Sparks position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.75

Toronto Tempo position

Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.64

Golden State Valkyries position

PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.36

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.51

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.78

Atlanta Braves position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.72

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.09

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 45% 20 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Under 77% 50.49 shares
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Boston Red Sox 63% 130 shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Under 55% 22.1 shares
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 205 shares
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 110 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

Canada 75% 46.4 shares
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 56% 585 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

No 49% 57.27 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

No 51% 58.57 shares
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Boston Red Sox 60% 70 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

England 45% 20 shares