No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
jorue5962
0x98be0b05477a1bf361d19cbb7edf47cd2c99f954
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.04
- Realized PnL
- $18.04
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp 50.3% 29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.8% 32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.8% 32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3% 54 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 97.1% 33 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.5% 80 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.2% 57 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.9% 8 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.4% 36 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.4% 36 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.5% 32 shares