OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $305.28
- Potential payout
- $954
- Potential profit
- $648.72
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$47.7
Polymarket Trader
WilliamWright9800
0x98cbb3a6073fe5683346f9f87ab1e5e52820a127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $698.33
- Realized PnL
- $3.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $248.71
- Potential payout
- $418
- Potential profit
- $169.29
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$27.17
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $66.38
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $158.63
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $73.71
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.09
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.72
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.06
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.6
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324
Yes position
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be less than 75k?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.46
Under position
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.18
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.28
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.88
Y
Yes position
Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.58
No position
Will Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.38
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.37
No position
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.67
No position
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.2
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.82
No position
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.17
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.28
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.59
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.25
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $48.12
Yes position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.66
Yes position
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $41.55
Yes position
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.56
No position
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $39.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 69% 416 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 68% 70 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 64% 23 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 75% 557 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 63% 509 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 78% 557 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 32% 304 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 32% 653 shares
- Will Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 75% 461 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 45% 957 shares
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?No 52% 1,081 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 37% 954 shares