0x98daC0b8008148211B5cB71Ef61106e7Fae091b8-1775467776400

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $8.08
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $4.77
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Ends Sep 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $3.11
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Benoît Saint Denis position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.84

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET