Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $603.15
- Potential payout
- $241.26K
- Potential profit
- $240.66K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $104.22
Polymarket Trader
CryptoAddict
0x98dc1e43f725102ab5071414ba66ffe433bb9949
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.75K
- Realized PnL
- $3.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $999.79
- Potential payout
- $44.44K
- Potential profit
- $43.44K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $26.79
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.21
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$87.5
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $93.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$40.25
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $61.67
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $415.41
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $663.57
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$70.13
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $99.83
- Potential payout
- $998.3
- Potential profit
- $898.47
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $876.12
- Potential profit
- $872.61
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$96.49
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $697.87
- Potential profit
- $697.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $697.69
- Potential profit
- $697.69
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $104.8
- Potential payout
- $655
- Potential profit
- $550.2
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$45.18
Yes position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $63.67
- Potential payout
- $636.66
- Potential profit
- $572.99
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.24
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $33.44
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $591.56
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$66.56
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $480.5
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$80.5
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.89
- Potential profit
- $463.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $29.97
- Potential payout
- $450.74
- Potential profit
- $420.76
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$69.64
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $63.08
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $371.93
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$36.98
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $377.34
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$84.74
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $28.94
- Potential payout
- $364.01
- Potential profit
- $335.07
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$21.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $626.43
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.56
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.01
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.92
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $279.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
No position
Will JD Vance say "Medicare" or "Medicaid" during remarks in NC on September 24?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.88
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.68
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.28
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.85
No position
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
No position
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.74
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.37
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.95
Cavaliers position
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.56
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 10% 170 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 49% 30 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 49% 204 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 196 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 49% 169.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 30% 276.8 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 1,250 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 268.42 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 1,078.98 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5% 123.56 shares