237462374

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $5.6
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6
Potential profit: $5.6
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5.54
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $5.48
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $5.4
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $5.37
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $1.11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Weibo Gaming position

Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group S

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.78

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 16, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Under position

EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2AM ET