No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Polymarket Trader
pv34
@CavhJorge
0x98fce428db4b92b4c9e5427b4c9822fbc7025382
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $570.41
- Realized PnL
- $672.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $740.74
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $60.08
- Potential payout
- $715.25
- Potential profit
- $655.17
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- -$72.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $83
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $117
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $169
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$132
No position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$24.48
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $158.26
- Potential profit
- $141.64
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$41.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $14.59
- Potential payout
- $116.69
- Potential profit
- $102.1
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.31
Yes position
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $95.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$24.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$26.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.24
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
No position
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 97.8% 10 shares
- Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 96.9% 10 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 80% 20 shares
- Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No 76% 19.98 shares
- EU dissolves before 2027?No 96.7% 50 shares
- Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No 99.8% 20.18 shares
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No 91.2% 40 shares
- Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No 80% 20 shares
- Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?No 94.9% 20 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?No 99.5% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 79.3% 30 shares