Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $45.31
- Potential payout
- $369.9
- Potential profit
- $324.59
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$28.67
Polymarket Trader
poormanwanttobenice
0x98fcffc6736a840790181c2717826364c4d99da8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $305.11
- Realized PnL
- $214.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $25.31
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $98.15
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $52.79
- Potential payout
- $102.5
- Potential profit
- $49.71
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$41.82
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.69
- Potential profit
- $63.69
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.39
- Potential payout
- $51.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.04
- Potential payout
- $50.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.02
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $44.44
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $34.87
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $8.61
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.52
- Potential profit
- $40.52
- User PnL
- -$34.04
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $23.58
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $23.08
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.74
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will Solana hit $150 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Trail Blazers position
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Rockets position
Raptors vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 11.5% 43.48 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 24.3% 123.46 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 44.44 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?No 97.3% 51.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 48% 50.04 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20% 369.9 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?Yes 15.7% 63.69 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 20?Yes 15% 99.99 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 20?Yes 64.5% 93.62 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes 30% 50 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 53% 44.44 shares