Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $114.75
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $110.25
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
axel899tess
0x990bc31153f3a798e956aedf040e36bfa1ab0f0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.75
- Realized PnL
- $76.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $13.21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 225 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.3% 232 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 116 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 117 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98% 117 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 208 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 167 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 261 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 114 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 128 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 22 shares