Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Polymarket Trader
francescowalter6621
0x99138cf15f42f311a5dd8ae596c8510815306798
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $13.68
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will “Adolescence: Limited Series” be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump post 220 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 139 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 150 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 23 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 51 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No 85% 37 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 48 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 57 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 113 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 72 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 116 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.1% 84 shares