Polymarket Trader

nony1748

0x9934b76667c9f3ff803ff028e1e897887c076078

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.74
Realized PnL: $17.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.46
Potential profit: $887.46
User PnL: -$16.86

Down position

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $160.08
Potential profit: $159.52
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.36

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.76
Potential profit: $81.76
User PnL: -$55.6

No position

Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.62
Potential profit: $73.62
User PnL: -$19.88

No position

Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$38.49

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Trent Williams be traded?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will Jalen Carter be traded?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94K

No position

Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Texans position

Texans vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.88

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.45

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.61

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.32

49ers position

Bears vs. 49ers

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.15

East Carolina position

Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.48

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.06

Jaguars position

Jaguars vs. Broncos

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.33

San Diego State position

Spread: North Texas (-7.5)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.5

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.89

No position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.16

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 80% 499.99 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Yes 12% 79.98 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 90.7% 400 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 91.4% 400 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 72% 740.77 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 74.4% 200 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 75.5% 400 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 77.1% 350 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 78% 160 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 79% 60 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

No 78.6% 200 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

No 67.7% 5,538.22 shares