Yes position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.84
Polymarket Trader
neo.
0x99353dbad8ae550aec8a6901128f6ac91f00ff83
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.01K
- Realized PnL
- $3.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $870.84
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $128.37
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $870
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$422.97
No position
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$157.4
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$355
Yes position
Will Lotus (Little Simz) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$253.79
No position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $879.45
- Potential profit
- $879.45
- User PnL
- -$57.96
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.92
- Potential profit
- $262.92
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.45
- Potential profit
- $236.45
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Yes position
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.07
- Potential profit
- $210.07
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$25.07
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.47
- Potential profit
- $193.47
- User PnL
- -$29.02
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.47
- Potential profit
- $181.47
- User PnL
- -$9.07
Yes position
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.88
- Potential profit
- $150.88
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.27
- Potential profit
- $139.27
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will CoinMamba win the Synthetix trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$30.47
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35.7
Yes position
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Music (Playboi Carti) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.08
No position
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.75
No position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.7
Yes position
Grokipedia released by October 24?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.48
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.06
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.35
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.74
No position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Kanye West release a new song in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.9
No position
US military action against Hezbollah in Lebanon by Monday?
Ends Aug 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse & Pusha T & Malice) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.71
No position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?Yes 64.4% 25.93 shares
- Will Kanye West release a new song in 2025?No 40% 40 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 10.1% 100 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes 0.7% 1,000 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 17?Yes 0.7% 1,000 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No 0.8% 200 shares
- Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No 65.5% 55 shares
- Sam Altman in jail by June 30?Yes 2.6% 30 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 87.7% 10 shares