No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $10.92K
- Potential payout
- $11.73K
- Potential profit
- $815.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $103.49
Polymarket Trader
melody233
@melody8848
0x9940cfb316cc7dff5411a1ad6aef344d0adfb140
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.16K
- Realized PnL
- $2.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$4.89
No position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $420
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $380
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $316
No position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $183.33
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $372.22
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $133.33
No position
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $363.94
- Potential payout
- $531.3
- Potential profit
- $167.36
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $231.12
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $232.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $115.5
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $235.3
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $24.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $143
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $107
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $79
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $42.63
- Potential payout
- $198.29
- Potential profit
- $155.66
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$128.85
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.99
- Potential profit
- $179.99
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $124.94
- Potential payout
- $125.13
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $108.33
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $16.41
- Potential payout
- $105.88
- Potential profit
- $89.47
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$71.97
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $99.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $40.34
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $20.34
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $28.8
- Potential payout
- $51.89
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $22.15
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.8
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.04
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.4
No position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.4
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.62
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.16
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.7
No position
Will Bitcoin ETFs attract more flows in 2025 than in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.16
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.83
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.07
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.32
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.47
No position
Berachain airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.69
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.54
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.1% 9,000 shares
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,446.8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?No 76% 150 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 99.8% 2,004.01 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 99.8% 3,006.01 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 99.7% 531.93 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 98.3% 508.65 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 97% 5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 96.7% 733.9 shares