No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $70.45
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.22
Polymarket Trader
23498DFG
0x994a75d15949937b9ac1dd3d1b49deaf32d6056e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.32
- Realized PnL
- $3.89
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $29.87
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
76ers position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 33 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 86.8% 74 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 57 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 99 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 83% 115 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 84% 115 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 56% 99 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 90.1% 45 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 63 shares
- Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 88.9% 67.45 shares
- Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 93.2% 60 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 88.6% 45 shares