Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $21.32
- Potential payout
- $36.45
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Polymarket Trader
Blackwoods
0x994b0be78cd9a0970c8134fbbcaf0542f473d116
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.32
- Realized PnL
- $25.87
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Fake do Biru position
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Nets position
Wizards vs. Nets
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 36.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 40.94 shares
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.7% 36.51 shares
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.6% 36.51 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.8% 37.89 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95% 37.89 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 94% 36.17 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 87.6% 38.7 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 93% 38.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?No 93.2% 38.7 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?No 93% 38.71 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?Up 80% 6.89 shares