No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
MoralOrel
0x99505cc39faac342b4d3bfa0659a0626670b6d78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $480.09
- Realized PnL
- $788.57
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $28.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $471.75
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$27.85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $461
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$16.7
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $22.89
- Potential payout
- $419.99
- Potential profit
- $397.1
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$25.63
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $43.62
- Potential payout
- $391.25
- Potential profit
- $347.63
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $385.58
- Potential profit
- $373.63
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $151.52
- Potential payout
- $224.48
- Potential profit
- $72.96
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $181
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $193.65
- Potential profit
- $190.75
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $52.37
- Potential payout
- $156.33
- Potential profit
- $103.96
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $74.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $63.59
- Potential profit
- $44.51
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.28
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $153.68
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $25.8
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $8.74
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.19
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Multiplier
- 9.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.11
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$15.85
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$17.68
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.49
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.27
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 68.9% 107.44 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 63% 185.74 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.4% 261.9 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 57% 107.44 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.6% 220 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.9% 63.59 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 56.6% 107.55 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 66% 58 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 52% 165.55 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22?Yes 13.4% 20 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes 50.1% 337.77 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22?Yes 10% 30 shares