Polymarket Trader

LukeDelta

0x99522923ea032ea03080c65f9ad9183d1a292edb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $627.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Zakharova position

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Anastasia Zakharova

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.15

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.59

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

No position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.29

Yes position

Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.99

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.92

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17

No position

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: August

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.9

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.49

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will The Stokes Twins' next video get between 21-24 million views on week 1?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 0.2% 15 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 0.2% 31.37 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 0.2% 59 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes 0.2% 70 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes 0.2% 653.44 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes 0.1% 255.01 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Yes 0.2% 89.94 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.2% 200 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?

No 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares