Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07M
- Potential profit
- $1.07M
- User PnL
- -$2.31K
Polymarket Trader
helpisontheway
0x9952d39fcc7a5baf664da51dd1b9c95f23ca9cba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.28K
- Realized PnL
- $8.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $9.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $47.24
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Current value
- $5.89K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$247.06
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $352.78
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $28.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $204.62
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $76.81
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$72
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.8
- Potential profit
- $94.8
- User PnL
- -$17
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$10.15
No position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.56
- Potential profit
- $19.56
- User PnL
- -$17
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.2
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.84
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.8
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.38
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $124.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.09
No position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.05
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $66.85
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.71
No position
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.62
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.84
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 287.22 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 87.2% 238 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 1,951.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 34% 55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 20% 2,300 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 57.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82.3% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 83.3% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 76% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 73.2% 5 shares