Polymarket Trader

Serendipitous44

0x9955bb62a6cf3bb3ad9184e4418221098c1d3ea4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.18
Realized PnL: $147.83
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $614.82
Potential profit: $614.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.04
Potential profit: $223.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

New X CEO announced by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$24

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $87.18
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $41.03
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$12.82

No position

Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

X relaunches Vine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.97
Potential profit: $57.97
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Canucks position

Stars vs. Canucks

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.23
Potential profit: $31.23
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.74
Potential profit: $29.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.11
Potential profit: $26.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will anyone say "M3" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.93

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Yes position

Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.82

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$74.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 78% 128.21 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 1% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?

Yes 41.1% 48.65 shares
Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?

Yes 67.2% 29.74 shares
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?

No 70% 35.71 shares
Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?

Yes 74.4% 26.88 shares
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?

Yes 43% 46.51 shares
Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?

No 28% 71.43 shares
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Yes 41% 48.78 shares
Stars vs. Canucks

Canucks 45% 44.44 shares
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 1.5% 1,666.66 shares
Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?

Yes 64% 31.23 shares