Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$148
Polymarket Trader
idanmasas
0x9956e52b04b7afd06fbf7ff9102fdb7de48adc96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $280.35
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $863.78
- Potential profit
- $863.78
- User PnL
- -$77.74
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.6
- Potential profit
- $589.6
- User PnL
- -$72.48
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $280.35
- Potential payout
- $534
- Potential profit
- $253.65
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $232.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 9% 534 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 31% 76.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETDown 5% 92 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.3% 1,846.25 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 2.8% 1,846.25 shares
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes 12.3% 589.6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes 77.8% 93.09 shares
- Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes 5% 2,960 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 9% 863.78 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes 21.5% 93.09 shares