Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Polymarket Trader
Doorbells
0x99635718dc3f99307d2c41b88bb79055869ceb90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.94
- Realized PnL
- $24.57
- Win rate
- 95.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $29.17
- Potential profit
- $26.69
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$12.52
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $21.71
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.32
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $17.91
- Potential payout
- $22.82
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.9%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $18.57
- Potential profit
- $10.43
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $17.73
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $17.23
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.82
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $9.16
- Potential payout
- $11.74
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.91
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will China join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.9% 30 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No 62% 10 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 76% 10 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 84% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 10 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No 23% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?No 54% 4.82 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No 81% 14.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 77% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No 75% 6.67 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 78% 12.82 shares