No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $6.37
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
Obsidianx
0x9969e67e1c78095ab5e0468c83ee32351963c7e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.06
- Realized PnL
- $3.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Heat position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 96% 4.17 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 97.8% 4.09 shares
- Heat vs. PacersHeat 77% 5.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 96.1% 4.16 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 91.9% 4.35 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No 97.6% 4.1 shares
- Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?Yes 93% 7.53 shares
- Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?Yes 93.6% 8.55 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes 97.5% 5.13 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 94.2% 6.37 shares
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTundra Esports 80% 7.5 shares