Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $931.59
- Potential payout
- $973.96
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.6
Polymarket Trader
tryingtobest
0x9974a5d270e6353bee0f8379e9a144f3ac4b2840
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48K
- Realized PnL
- $350.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $237
- Potential payout
- $297.18
- Potential profit
- $60.18
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $200.19
- Potential profit
- $191.68
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$93.05
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $104.24
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $45.77
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $6.74
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $121.88
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $53.68
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $59.33
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$23.17
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $89.23
- Potential profit
- $81.2
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$23.77
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $60.9
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.41
- Potential profit
- $14.41
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.27
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.94
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $40.06
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.44
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $32.84
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.51
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 93.8% 100 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 85.7% 30 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes 68% 30 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes 68% 30 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes 68% 30 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes 68% 23 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 74.8% 40.12 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 15.9% 70 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 32% 50 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65% 100 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Yes 8.1% 49.23 shares