Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $373.28
- Potential payout
- $655
- Potential profit
- $281.72
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $261.93
Polymarket Trader
DavidPerez6959
0x997f25da53d08ffd540952c36983099aee1cb3c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.03
- Realized PnL
- $2.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $162.07
- Potential payout
- $583
- Potential profit
- $420.93
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- -$37.31
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $15.43
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $774.8
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.81
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.38
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.24
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.36
Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $118.51
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.74
Yes position
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.53
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.62
No position
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.83
No position
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.56
Yes position
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.78
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.85
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.83
No position
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.81
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.62
Yes position
Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.94
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $15.69
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $15.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 67% 359 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5Under 76.6% 988 shares
- Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 79% 544 shares
- Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 78% 8 shares
- Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No 54% 790 shares
- Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No 58% 340 shares
- Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 70% 355 shares
- Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 71% 27 shares
- Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 70% 170 shares
- Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No 65% 1,130 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 58% 475 shares
- Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 91.9% 766 shares