Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $475.58
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.19K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $105.31
Polymarket Trader
BondSolo
@meustermint
0x9995d54ecf4eab96e1bdfcf519b12c447e28d0d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.17K
- Realized PnL
- $8.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $870
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $620.03
- Potential payout
- $620.34
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $105.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $488
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $98.86
- Potential payout
- $373.06
- Potential profit
- $274.2
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$13.06
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $193.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $193.79
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.8
No position
2026 NBA Draft: Any Team to Trade into Top 10?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $123.99
- Potential payout
- $124.68
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- User PnL
- $114.09
No position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $109.5
- Potential payout
- $109.55
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $9.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $834.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $367.54
Yes position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.59
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.96
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $230.96
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.83
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.51
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.94
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.35
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.77
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.17
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.68
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.34
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.14
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.49
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 NBA Draft: Any Team to Trade into Top 10?No 7.9% 124.68 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 83% 50 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 83% 370 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 3.3% 205 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.3% 668.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 17% 247.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 49% 242.96 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 48.3% 234.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 22.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 98.9% 163.09 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 81.9% 223 shares