Polymarket Trader

0x9996...bda1

0x9996c6ae4f6d38000a02dc4f324827131748bda1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $902.44
Realized PnL: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $126.95
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$29.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $122.62
Potential payout: $628.81
Potential profit: $506.2
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $141.78
Potential payout: $535
Potential profit: $393.23
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $34.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $118.01
Potential payout: $524.51
Potential profit: $406.49
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $34.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $15.19
Potential payout: $198.59
Potential profit: $183.4
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $198.44
Potential profit: $187.42
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $41.67
Potential payout: $193.82
Potential profit: $152.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $21.87
Potential payout: $190.21
Potential profit: $168.34
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $40.8
Potential payout: $189.77
Potential profit: $148.97
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $187.96
Potential profit: $158.82
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $77.54
Potential payout: $163.24
Potential profit: $85.7
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $49.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $162.1
Potential profit: $147.27
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $120.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $24.7
Potential payout: $149.69
Potential profit: $124.99
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $138.7
Potential profit: $123.1
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $28.16
Potential payout: $130.97
Potential profit: $102.81
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $18.91
Potential payout: $122.01
Potential profit: $103.09
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $48.53
Potential profit: $45.54
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $48.33
Potential profit: $47.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.97
Potential payout: $48.21
Potential profit: $27.24
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $14.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.12

Over position

Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.54

Over position

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.92

Over position

Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $47.44

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.56

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 1% 1,016.32 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 87% 500 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 31% 1,516.32 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 4% 2,500 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 9% 333.33 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 60% 333.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 6.4% 198.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 7.1% 198.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 10.1% 162.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 11.4% 1,372.39 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over 30.6% 326.54 shares