0x99a5...95cf

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $161.12
Potential payout: $183.09
Potential profit: $21.97
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$12.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $162.58
Potential payout: $170.24
Potential profit: $7.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $146.22
Potential payout: $151.05
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $146.22
Potential payout: $148.9
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $141.08
Potential payout: $142.44
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: $7.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $113.65
Potential payout: $126.98
Potential profit: $13.33
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $109.78
Potential payout: $122.66
Potential profit: $12.88
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $107.92
Potential payout: $119.25
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $104.81
Potential payout: $113.68
Potential profit: $8.87
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $108.64
Potential payout: $109.35
Potential profit: $0.71
User PnL: $5.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $105.08
Potential payout: $105.13
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $16.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $90.68
Potential payout: $96.52
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $90.84
Potential payout: $93.22
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $77.69
Potential payout: $85.85
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $84.45
Potential payout: $84.79
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $82.29
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $0.71
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $73.19
Potential payout: $80.21
Potential profit: $7.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $74.22
Potential payout: $76.04
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $75.11
Potential payout: $75.91
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $67.9
Potential payout: $68.24
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $60.02
Potential payout: $67.06
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $64.1
Potential payout: $64.71
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $59.45
Potential payout: $60.17
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $50.81
Potential payout: $55.53
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $54.54
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $49.81
Potential payout: $52.43
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $48.43
Potential payout: $50.42
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $29.27
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$4.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.7
Potential payout: $49.94
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $47.03
Potential payout: $49.25
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $45.45
Potential payout: $49.13
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $49.12
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $45.64
Potential payout: $49.1
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $42.68
Potential payout: $47.95
Potential profit: $5.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $42.48
Potential payout: $45.24
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $44.67
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$4.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $43.04
Potential payout: $43.72
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $43.09
Potential payout: $43.35
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.77
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $38.6
Potential payout: $42.72
Potential profit: $4.12
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $32.32
Potential payout: $41.17
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $34.82
Potential payout: $39.34
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $36.36
Potential payout: $38.97
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $34.38
Potential payout: $37.99
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $29.66
Potential payout: $37.55
Potential profit: $7.89
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $33.85
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $33.46
Potential payout: $36.39
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $32.18
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $22.45
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$7.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $34.61
Potential profit: $23.19
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$17.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?