Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.67K
- Potential profit
- $10.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Polymarket Trader
Jerdragon
0x99bcafb22654e130443eeaede21557f3cc0e1c78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $490.28
- Realized PnL
- -$812.52
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $461.93
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $877.38
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$138.07
Y
Yes position
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $28.36
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $13.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.4
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes 44.8% 1,339.3 shares
- Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 46.88 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 75.8% 92.3 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 15% 4,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 15% 6,666.67 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?Yes 17% 4,705.88 shares
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 11.4% 1,750.8 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?Yes 16.7% 12,001.73 shares