Polymarket Trader

hexhorse

0x99c2d7f0506f74e5b46559748ccaf4592611123a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.6
Realized PnL: $154.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $10.13
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11AM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 7PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 4AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?

Yes 18.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?

Yes 40.2% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Down 28% 13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Up 73% 13 shares
BNB Up or Down - July 8, 11AM ET

Up 19.2% 5.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9AM ET

Down 53% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3AM ET

Up 61% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Up 3% 36 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 87% 20 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 4AM ET

Up 62% 5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Up 55% 5 shares