Polymarket Trader

Mithrandiric

0x99cbb81f3de786e81b56077598875d8b0f6ff629

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.48K
Realized PnL: $10.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.18K
Potential profit: $40.18K
User PnL: -$157.43

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $696.17
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $107

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $89.7
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $111.51
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $106.51

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $656.85
Potential payout: $687.81
Potential profit: $30.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $77.64

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $631.87
Potential profit: $631.87
User PnL: -$456

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $28.16
Potential payout: $516.66
Potential profit: $488.5
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $70.9
Potential payout: $480.7
Potential profit: $409.8
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $30.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $369.8
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.2

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318
Potential profit: $318
User PnL: -$235.24

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$267

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $146.03
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$115.5

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $129
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$58.8

Yes position

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.77
Potential profit: $13.77
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75K

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691.71

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.37

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.09

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.17

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.63

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.93

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.4

Yes position

Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.59

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.5

Yes position

Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.75

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.71

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.28

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.55

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.96

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 400 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 100 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 1,999.99 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 699.25 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 64% 43.62 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 60% 35 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 245.66 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 70.9% 250 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 45 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 70% 40 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 469.82 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 26% 26 shares