Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.14K
- Potential profit
- $15.14K
- User PnL
- -$111.17
Polymarket Trader
0x99D13b89a392E987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5C1-1761670434174
0x99d13b89a392e987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $939.93
- Realized PnL
- $686.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.82K
- Potential profit
- $9.82K
- User PnL
- -$133.03
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.84K
- Potential profit
- $8.84K
- User PnL
- -$31.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.71K
- Potential profit
- $8.71K
- User PnL
- -$21.56
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.3K
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.97K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$15.92
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$17.96
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- User PnL
- -$48.13
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$13.96
Yes position
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- User PnL
- -$64.28
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $233.54
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$82.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- User PnL
- -$43.03
No position
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25.11
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $673.39
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $624.32
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$44.49
Yes position
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$34.9
No position
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.6
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 13% 44.68 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No 0.8% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 93% 110 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 97.9% 73 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 75% 73 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.9% 1,623.7 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 10% 426.59 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 2,000 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?Yes 0.6% 30.45 shares